In the Korea Talks, Why Kim Jong Un Can't Lose


"For North Korea to achieve its desired effects and to attract attention, it will have to dispatch its beauty cheering squad", said An Chan-Il, a defector-turned-researcher who heads the World Institute for North Korea Studies.

The current diplomatic overture is a tactical retreat of sorts, a way to ease pressure that is building to a unsafe possibility North Korea doesn't want to face.

But now, he might see an opening to cause a different kind of trouble - by driving a wedge between Seoul, where the government wants to change North Korea's ways through engagement, and Washington, where President Trump urges "maximum pressure". That gives the regime time, about the only thing Kim needs as much as money.

Trump and Kim traded bellicose warlike rhetoric and even crude insults previous year, as the North conducted it sixth and most powerful nuclear detonation and three tests of intercontinental ballistic missiles.

The Kim regime also needs time to finish building a larger submarine as well as ideal a submarine launched missiles that could pose a threat to Japan.

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"From the American point of view past negotiations with North Korea have accomplished nothing".

In theory, the United States could stop a North Korean launch, at tremendous cost, but if they miss even a single shot, the party leaving the encounter with a bloody nose would be the US.

North Korea cut communications in February 2016, following South Korea's decision to shut down a jointly run industrial park.

The South Korean government is reportedly prepared to pick up the bill for the North Korean team's accommodation at the Games, with the Unification Ministry bluntly dismissing any concerns that this may violate global sanctions. -South Korea relations. When they eventually take place, North Korea will balk, accuse South Korea of reneging on its offer for peace, and perhaps test another round of missiles. With no other option available, North Korea has to pull out its talk card. It's hard to imagine any major breakthroughs or policy shifts by the South on the biggest issues - denuclearization foremost among them - without USA consultations. "South Korean alliances, which is South Korea", he said.

North Korea agreed Tuesday to send a delegation to next month's Winter Olympics in South Korea, Seoul officials said, as the bitter rivals began their first official talks in more than two years. There is also the memory of a devastating war and the very real possibility that North Korean artillery could claim millions of lives in South Korea.

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The talks had been closely watched by world leaders keen for any sign of a reduction in tension, as fears grow over the North's missile launches and development of nuclear weapons, in defiance of United Nations Security Council resolutions.

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, who turned 34 on Monday, has taken great pride in his nuclear and missile progress over the past year.

But the chief North Korean delegate complained bitterly about South Korean media reports that they had discussed the North's nuclear disarmament. "That campaign is created to bring Kim Jong Un to the table for meaningful negations".

The five-member North Korean delegation, dressed in fitted western-style dark suits and polished dress shoes, arrived at the border via motorcade shortly before 9:30 a.m. Seoul time, before making the short walk across the military demarcation line into the South Korean side of Panmunjom.

Fisher said another Korean war could accelerate China's timeline for conquering Taiwan.

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Even with the best weapons systems in the world and the finest military, the U.S. faces real danger in attempting to bloody North Korea's nose, as its unpredictable dictator may decide that he can't tolerate the humiliation associated with being beaten by his sworn enemy.