New Jersey Democrats in Strong Position to Flip GOP Districts

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Among registered voters, 68 percent of both Republican-leaning and Democratic-leaning registered voters say they are certain they will vote.

Further, among Republican likely voters, 95 percent say they would vote for their party's candidate, which is up from 89 percent in January and now matches the level among Democrats, 95 percent. Those who do say it's "extremely important" that the candidate have their views on Trump "favor the Democrats over Republicans by 11 points, 54 percent to 43 percent". And 52 percent of registered voters say it's extremely or very important to them to support a candidate who shares their view of Trump, rising to 60 percent of likely voters.

Seventy-eight percent of Americans and registered voters alike say it's important to them to support a candidate who shares their opinion on gun policy, including four in 10 who say it's "extremely" important.

The 19-percentage-point gap in favor of Democrats in New Jersey is significantly wider than the generic House vote edge of nine points in a national poll last month. "If these results hold, we could be down to just one or two-or maybe even zero-Republican members in the state congressional delegation after November".

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Other public polls have found a narrowing in Democrats' midterm advantage, although it has been less sharp than in the Post-ABC poll.

He's given roughly $222,000 since the 2016 election to 78 Democrats running for Congress, according to federal election data from 2017 and a preview of Klarman's first-quarter donations provided to the Globe by a person familiar with his giving. Analysts expect Democrats to need a six- to eight-point lead in so-called generic-ballot polls to win a majority of congressional districts. The same CNN poll had showed a 16-point Democratic edge in February. They are pushing for a measure to be included on the ballot that repeals the increase.

Party leaders, encouraged by recent victories in special elections in Pennsylvania and Alabama, hope it will be enough to help them flip 24 seats needed in November to wrestle control of the chamber from Republicans.

Only 35 percent of New Jersey residents approve of the law and 46 percent disapprove, according to Monmouth University.

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The political climate has not been hospitable to Republicans, who see the governorship and state legislature controlled by Democrats. But almost one-quarter have no opinion of the former house speaker, who could regain the gavel if Democrats flip the House.

Democrats have a 19-point advantage over Republicans in the generic House ballot among all registered voters in New Jersey, according to a Monmouth University Poll released Monday. Among Republicans, she is well-known and widely disliked, with 74 percent holding unfavorable views of her, 63 percent strongly.

The poll was conducted from April 6 to 10 among 632 voters and has a margin of error of 3.9 percentage points.

Nearly half of N.J. registered voters, 48 percent, said they expected to pay more in federal taxes even as New Jersey already sends billions of dollars more to Washington than it receives in services.

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